Today, PLMR have published a new report: “Adapting to the New Normal – A Time of Greater Stability in UK Politics?”

Following Labour’s record-breaking win nine months ago, the Government has faced a rocky first year – with summer riots, a hostile Budget reaction and the resignation of chief-of-staff Sue Gray – all set against US-driven economic jitters.

Building on PLMR and Electoral Calculus’ quarterly constituency-level MRP polling the report suggest that early waves point to an electoral upheaval. With the Runcorn by-election, six mayoralties and 1,641 council seats up for election tomorrow, we will see if the prospect of “5 party politics” will become a reality – with Reform, the Liberal Democrats and Green Party all set to gain from the two traditional main parties.

Focusing on PLMR’s sector and regional expertise, the paper tests how a shifting political landscape could disrupt investment plans, regulation and local growth agendas.

Read the full PLMR Insights paper for detailed polling data, scenario analysis and recommendations for navigating the evolving political climate.